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2026 XAUUSD Event Study

Gold Calendar 2026: The Forex Economic Calendar That Actually Moves XAUUSD

Most forex calendars list every release. Gold does not trade every release. This gold calendar filters the 2026 forex economic calendar down to the events that move XAUUSD, then measures what gold actually did in the 60 minutes after 181 high-impact USD releases.

13,583calendar rows analysed across 2026
828high-impact events; 494 are USD
$30.18median 60-minute XAUUSD range
181events with measured gold reactions

Why a Gold Calendar Is Not the Same as a Forex Calendar

A standard forex calendar shows every economic release for every currency. A forex economic calendar adds forecasts, previous values and impact ratings. A gold calendar goes one step further: it ranks releases by their actual effect on XAUUSD.

Gold has no central bank and no earnings. It reacts through four channels: the expected path of US interest rates, real yields, the US dollar, and risk appetite. That is why a hot CPI print can be bearish for gold in the first hour even though inflation is supposedly gold-positive: the market reads it as “the Fed must stay tight,” real yields rise, and gold reprices lower.

Key idea: a release can be “high impact” on a generic forex calendar and still be a low-quality gold event. The Gold Calendar 2026 ranks events by measured XAUUSD range, not by a generic impact label.

2026 High-Impact Event Heatmap

Monthly count of high-impact events by currency. The 2026 calendar contains 828 high-impact events; 494 are USD, followed by EUR 141, GBP 69 and JPY 60. September is the busiest month with 81 high-impact events.

MonthUSDEURGBPJPYCNYCADCHFAUDNZDOtherTotal
Jan4295521000064
Feb38168401012070
Mar44137621410078
Apr48136521001076
May4197410014067
Jun43155611210074
Jul42147521001072
Aug3953410011054
Sep44187511311081
Oct40157623001074
Nov3784411012058
Dec3663612311160

Source: 2026 economic calendar export; high-impact rows only. “Other” includes currencies outside the nine major columns.

Which 2026 Events Moved Gold the Most?

We matched every high-impact USD event to XAUUSD M15 bars and measured the range from the event timestamp to 60 minutes later. Range is the highest high minus the lowest low inside that window. The sample covers 181 events through 30 October 2026.

EventSampleMedian 60m rangeMedian absolute moveVolume vs pre-60mFirst 15m rangeNext 45m rangeReversal rate
NFP 9 $65.13 $21.34 3.06x $47.51 $32.96 66.67%
FOMC 14 $63.73 $39.80 2.05x $33.11 $47.13 35.71%
CPI 10 $40.69 $15.18 1.89x $34.17 $27.46 50.00%
ADP 10 $30.95 $10.09 1.28x $16.02 $24.85 50.00%
Retail Sales 11 $30.18 $11.07 1.43x $21.04 $23.38 54.55%
PCE 11 $28.39 $12.87 2.00x $13.78 $21.59 18.18%
ISM Manufacturing 10 $28.24 $7.70 0.79x $18.83 $25.40 60.00%
ISM Services 9 $27.01 $11.13 0.96x $14.79 $20.90 55.56%
EIA Crude 43 $24.60 $10.41 0.70x $11.84 $20.48 41.86%
GDP 11 $23.32 $5.06 2.00x $15.33 $20.93 27.27%
Jobless Claims 43 $23.32 $6.61 1.43x $15.33 $21.65 65.12%
All measured 181 $30.18 $11.13 1.27x $17.04 $23.17 49.17%
$65.13
NFP median 60-minute range
Highest median range in the study. Volume was 3.06x the pre-event window.
$63.73
FOMC decision median range
The next 45 minutes were wider than the first 15 minutes — the press conference matters.
$40.69
CPI median 60-minute range
CPI is narrower than NFP/FOMC but still 35% above the all-event median.
Timing insight: NFP reversed between the first 15-minute move and the next 45 minutes in 66.67% of measured events. FOMC reversed only 35.71% of the time but expanded in the second phase. CPI was a coin flip at 50%. Do not assume the first spike is the real move.

2026 NFP, CPI and FOMC Dates

These are the major XAUUSD dates for planning. Times are shown as recorded in the source platform; always convert to your broker server time and verify against the official schedule.

DateTimeTypeEvent
Jan 9, 2026 13:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Jan 13, 2026 13:30 CPI CPI m/m
Jan 28, 2026 19:00 FOMC Fed Interest Rate Decision
Jan 28, 2026 19:30 FOMC FOMC Press Conference
Feb 11, 2026 13:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Feb 13, 2026 13:30 CPI CPI m/m
Mar 6, 2026 13:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Mar 11, 2026 12:30 CPI CPI m/m
Mar 18, 2026 18:00 FOMC Fed Interest Rate Decision
Mar 18, 2026 18:30 FOMC FOMC Press Conference
Apr 3, 2026 12:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Apr 10, 2026 12:30 CPI CPI m/m
Apr 29, 2026 18:00 FOMC Fed Interest Rate Decision
Apr 29, 2026 18:30 FOMC FOMC Press Conference
May 8, 2026 12:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
May 12, 2026 12:30 CPI CPI m/m
Jun 5, 2026 12:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Jun 10, 2026 12:30 CPI CPI m/m
Jun 17, 2026 18:00 FOMC Fed Interest Rate Decision
Jun 17, 2026 18:30 FOMC FOMC Press Conference
Jul 2, 2026 12:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Jul 14, 2026 12:30 CPI CPI m/m
Jul 29, 2026 18:00 FOMC Fed Interest Rate Decision
Jul 29, 2026 18:30 FOMC FOMC Press Conference
Aug 7, 2026 12:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Aug 12, 2026 12:30 CPI CPI m/m
Sep 4, 2026 12:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Sep 11, 2026 12:30 CPI CPI m/m
Sep 16, 2026 18:00 FOMC Fed Interest Rate Decision
Sep 16, 2026 18:30 FOMC FOMC Press Conference
Oct 2, 2026 12:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Oct 14, 2026 12:30 CPI CPI m/m
Oct 28, 2026 18:00 FOMC Fed Interest Rate Decision
Oct 28, 2026 18:30 FOMC FOMC Press Conference
Nov 6, 2026 13:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Nov 10, 2026 13:30 CPI CPI m/m
Dec 4, 2026 13:30 NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Dec 9, 2026 19:00 FOMC Fed Interest Rate Decision
Dec 9, 2026 19:30 FOMC FOMC Press Conference
Dec 10, 2026 13:30 CPI CPI m/m

How to Trade Gold Around News Without Chasing the Spike

The data supports a simple process: decide exposure before the release, assume the spread widens, and let the first candle close before acting. Gold spreads can triple during CPI or NFP, and stops placed inside the widening are often taken at prices the chart never shows.

  • Before the release: reduce size or stand aside. FOMC has two events 30 minutes apart, so treat the statement and press conference as one combined risk window.
  • First 15 minutes: use it to measure the initial reaction, not to chase. NFP reversed in two-thirds of our measured events.
  • Next 45 minutes: FOMC and PCE expanded in the second phase. Wait for liquidity to return before entering continuation.
  • Spread and slippage: use wider stops or no position. A tight stop during a news spike is not risk management; it is a donation.
  • Log the reaction: record actual vs forecast, first 15m direction, next 45m direction and range. That is how a calendar becomes an edge.

Download the Gold Calendar 2026 Research Files

These are aggregated research outputs, not the raw calendar rows. Use them for planning, dashboards and event-risk studies.

Downloads are email-gated to prevent abuse. The raw MQL5 calendar export is not published.

Methodology and Data Quality

The calendar export contains 13,583 rows for 2026: 828 high-impact, 4,314 moderate, 8,192 low and 249 none. It covers 19 currencies, 23 countries and 1,216 unique event names. The reaction study uses XAUUSD M15 data from 2017 through 30 October 2026 and measures 181 high-impact USD events with enough bars on both sides of the release.

Event windows are measured from the recorded event timestamp to 60 minutes later. Pre-event volume is the 60 minutes before the timestamp. Reversal rate compares the sign of the first 15-minute move with the sign of the next 45-minute move. The study is descriptive, not predictive. Spreads, slippage and broker execution are not modelled.

For official schedules, verify with the Federal Reserve, BLS, BEA and ECB. This page is educational research, not financial advice.

Gold Calendar 2026 FAQ

What is the Gold Calendar 2026?

It is a 2026 forex economic calendar filtered for events that move XAUUSD: NFP, CPI, PCE, FOMC decisions, Fed press conferences, GDP, retail sales, ISM and other high-impact USD releases.

Which event moves gold the most?

In our 2026 XAUUSD M15 study, NFP had a median 60-minute range of $65.13, FOMC $63.73 and CPI $40.69 per ounce. The 181-event median was $30.18.

What time are US economic releases in 2026?

Most US data is released at 13:30 platform/server time, with some periods at 12:30. FOMC decisions are usually at 18:00 or 19:00, followed by the press conference 30 minutes later. Always convert to your broker server time.

Does gold always fall on strong US data?

No. Strong data can lift real yields and the dollar, which is usually bearish for gold, but the reaction depends on positioning, inflation expectations and risk appetite. Our study measures the range, not a guaranteed direction.

Should I trade the first 15 minutes after NFP?

Our 2026 data shows NFP had a 66.67% reversal rate between the first 15-minute move and the next 45 minutes. Waiting for the first candle to close can reduce chasing the initial spike.

Is this a live economic calendar?

This page is a 2026 planning and research page. For live values, use the AlgoSpecial live economic calendar and verify the exact release time with the official source.

Can I download the Gold Calendar 2026 data?

You can download the aggregated reaction study and high-impact heatmap CSV files. We do not republish the raw MQL5 calendar rows.

Is the Gold Calendar 2026 financial advice?

No. It is educational research. Economic releases can cause spread widening, slippage and rapid losses. Test any news strategy on demo first.

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